After the news of the planted explosive device became public, several Hungarian investigative journalists pointed to information indicating that such an incident was being prepared, as suggested by intelligence data released publicly several weeks earlier.
Specifically, the journalists claim it is a "false flag" operation, meaning a staged incident for which the opponent of the actual organizer is blamed.
In this case, investigative journalists allege that Orbán "ordered" this incident due to the upcoming elections.
One of them, Balázs Kaufmann, shared a message on social media platform X from February 28, which he received from a source within the Hungarian government, announcing that such an event could occur.
"Serbs or Russians will carry out an 'attack' on Hungarian interests within the next three weeks. This is what we know so far. Viktor Orbán's goal is to declare a state of emergency. They have abandoned the idea of an operation on domestic soil, but Orbán still insists on it," states the message published by Kaufmann.
In posts by other Hungarian journalists on X, it is also mentioned that Serbia was chosen as the target of this attack due to the close relationship between Orbán and Vučić, as well as the fact that it is an election year in both countries and such crises typically benefit the ruling structures.
This is particularly important for Orbán, who is facing his most serious opponent since coming to power in 2010. Péter Magyar and his party Tisza hold a significant lead in most pre-election polls and are almost certain to win the elections on April 12.
Precisely for this reason, according to Hungarian journalists, Orbán decided to take this path, hoping that public reaction would work in his favor.